主题:11月27号高级小组感恩节实时新闻

作者:1

[第1段]

开始时间: 11:45:04

结束时间: 11:46:20

对话:

Jay: "Happy Thanksgiving"

Axel: "Happy Thanksgiving!"

[第2段]

开始时间: 11:50:04

结束时间: 12:05:20

对话:

Michael: "Wishing every member of the group a Happy Thanksgiving!"

Sara: "On this special day, I want to thank every group member for their long term companionship, and thank the analyst team for generously sharing trading knowledge" {Kip: 👍, Hank: 👍}

Ken: "Cheers, celebrating this wonderful moment"

Dale: "Thanksgiving with a rising crypto market is the happiest thing"

Tricia: "Thank you, mentor. Thank you, crypto industry, for giving us the chance to gather here"

Sean: "Besides family, the most important people in my life are all of you in this group"

Sean: "Right here, right now"

Kip: "God bless our family at Thanksgiving and always"

Sara: "May God bless us all. Sending my most sincere wishes to everyone"

Ken: "It was God's guidance that brought us together. Thank God"

Mikaelian: "We also need to thank the assistant. The strong unity of this group would not exist without the assistant's hard work"

Axel: "How is everyone spending Thanksgiving today? Come share with us"

Tricia: "Same as every year, preparing turkey and venison for the whole family"

Ken: @14@"I am taking on the turkey challenge this year. Wish me luck"

Raj: @14@"My family and I are already on our way to California for vacation"

Axel: "Stay safe, my friend. Have fun"

Gregory: "Not sure if Trump will follow tradition this year and personally pardon a turkey"

[第3段]

开始时间: 12:08:04

结束时间: 12:17:20

对话:

Michael: "Do you remember Trump's turkey joke back in 2018? Haha"

Jay: @16@"Speaking from experience, always remember to rub a bit of butter and spices before roasting. The flavor will blow your mind"

Ken: "No problem. Thank you for sharing"

Hank: "Is no one planning to watch the Detroit Lions game?"

Kip: "Buddy, of course. It is my must watch program every Thanksgiving"

Hank: "Just bet on the Lions losing. They cannot beat Green Bay"

Kip: "Trust me, it will be an exciting and evenly matched game. Both teams are very close in strength"

Sean: "Seems like there are three games this year"

Mikaelian: "Yes, time to binge watch. Plus the special halftime performance. I heard the guest is a big name" {Sean: 👍}

Sean: "Looks like I am spending Thanksgiving night with my wife in front of the TV"

Axel: "The parade broadcast is about to start. I am turning on the TV now"

Michael: "I wonder what new creative ideas Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade has this year"

[第4段]

开始时间: 12:18:20

结束时间: 12:26:10

对话:

Gregory: "Our whole family is planning to attend the biggest religious celebration in Sacramento. Thank God for everything He has given us" {Tricia: 👍}

Hank: "That sounds so cool. Suddenly I regret staying home"

Gregory: "Haha, every major city will have events. Receiving the bishop's blessing together with thousands of believers gives me peace and happiness"

Dale: "That is an excellent choice. Want to go together this afternoon? I will check where the gathering in Los Angeles is happening"

Ken: "I am off to prepare the big meal. You all keep chatting"

Tricia: "I am heading out too. My family has already gathered"

Axel: "I envy your big family. It must be wonderful to share holiday joy together"

Sean: "I wish I could go with you all, but my daughters do not like these events. Hope you understand"

Dale: "What a pity. Next time it will be just you and me"

[第5段]

开始时间: 12:26:55

结束时间: 12:29:40

对话:

Jay: "I am planning to join community volunteer work starting tomorrow. I am excited and hope it will be a good experience"

Michael: "Go for it. Proud of you"

Dale: "I pray that after this Thanksgiving, Bitcoin will shift from weakness to strength and start a new bull run" {Tricia: 👏}

[第6段]

开始时间: 12:31:20

结束时间: 12:46:20

对话:

Mikaelian: "I heard Bitcoin often rises on Thanksgiving night. Not sure if that is true"

Axel: "Thanksgiving and post Thanksgiving crypto performance has generally been friendly"

Sean: "Thanksgiving, Christmas, and New Year all coming together often stimulates strong crypto movement" {Raj: 👏, Axel: 👍}

Kip: "Do you think the current market move is a short term rebound or a true trend reversal?"

Michael: "More likely a rebound. The move has no continuation yet"

Hank: "The digital asset sky has only cleared temporarily, not truly warmed up"

Gregory: "I think and hope it is a complete reversal"

Dale: @47@"Honestly, no one can answer that question for you"

Mikaelian: "Just like the US. stock market, major reversals are always walked out by the market itself, never predicted"

Kip: "You all make great points"

Dale: "The tax rebate mentioned in the news shared by the assistant will stimulate the current market to some degree"

Raj: "Price action has already reflected that"

Axel: "When OBBBA first came out, it did not affect the market much. Did not expect it to have impact now"

Dale: "Most workers continued paying taxes under the old OBBBA rules this year. It left a huge setup"

[第7段]

开始时间: 12:49:20

结束时间: 13:14:20

对话:

Gregory: "Is this the largest tax rebate in U.S. history?"

Axel: "Yes. The total national tax refund increased by up to nine hundred ten billion dollars"

Michael: "I am going to check if I can get a refund next year"

Axel: "Haha, go. It is a good amount"

Michael: "Seems like each filer may possibly get an extra one thousand dollars?"

Hank: "Not sure yet. There is no official extra subsidy plan for now. We need to wait for updates"

Gregory: "I feel like the impact on the market will not last long. The real refund is still far away"

Sean: "But we cannot deny the crypto market is showing recovery signals that we have not seen for a long time"

Mikaelian: "These recovery signals encourage investors. Bitcoin has not risen more than five percent in a single day in a long time"

Axel: "From eighty thousand five hundred to ninety thousand five hundred, the maximum rebound already exceeded ten percent"

Dale: "Exactly. If it were only a rebound, Bitcoin would not rise this much. Maybe only about three percent in a slow upswing"

Dale: "This is why I still have hope for the upcoming market trend"

Matt: "But mainstream Wall Street analysts expect only a temporary rebound. They believe Bitcoin could pull back to around sixty eight thousand"

Jay: "Sixty eight thousand is way too low. The market would completely lose confidence"

Mikaelian: "But historically, the truth in the crypto market is often held by a minority. So the result could be opposite of common expectations"

Dale: @70@"This entire move started from that price range. Going back there again? No, that is unrealistic"

Matt: "From one hundred twenty six thousand down to eighty thousand five hundred, most people thought it was crazy too"

Matt: "But reality is always harsh"

Dale: "From a capital flow perspective, the situation is pessimistic. Bitcoin ETF outflow even hit a historic record"

Hank: "The Coinbase premium index remains negative. These are clear bearish signals"

Mikaelian: "Fortunately, there is no obvious sign of institutional capital withdrawing"

Dale: "Just like we said the past few days, crypto treasuries even showed overall net inflows"

[第8段]

开始时间: 13:14:50

结束时间: 13:40:20

对话:

Gregory: "Meaning the continuous ETF outflow is mostly caused by short term speculators?"

Kip: "Bingo. I strongly agree"

Dale: "Guys, many people still ignore a fact. The U.S. government's support and policy framework for the crypto industry are very real. We cannot look at today's market with outdated perspectives" {Dale: 👏}

Axel: "You are right. Compared to before, the crypto industry has fundamentally improved"

Dale: "Which is why I do not think we will see the usual deep bear market corrections of the past"

Sean: @76@"The massive Bitcoin ETF outflow will not last long. Most of it was caused by BlackRock's two point two billion dollar redemption"

Tricia: "Damn BlackRock. Biggest short seller"

Dale: "So that means BlackRock itself accounted for more than sixty percent of the entire outflow"

Tricia: "Will the crypto market face a liquidity crisis? I believe that is what most people are worried about"

Dale: "BlackRock's selling is almost done. Next week's ETF data will be more important"

Raj: "Ethereum ETF outflows already stopped earlier than Bitcoin"

Axel: @88@"The government is back in operation plus rate cuts coming. The financial market will not have any liquidity issues"

Michael: "We really have to thank BitMine and other Ethereum strategic reserve companies for adding positions against the trend"

Gregory: "Yes. Without them, Ethereum would face a more severe liquidation crisis"

Ken: "It is also a kind of passive self rescue"

Kip: "Ethereum treasury companies did not run away early. Their loyalty is surprising"

Dale: "The liquidity issue the crypto market might face now is only due to holders continuously selling in the short term"

Mikaelian: "The total Bitcoin reserves on centralized exchanges have dropped sharply. That is also a major reason"

Ken: "Are centralized exchanges dumping like crazy?"

Mikaelian: "Yes. Platforms like Coinbase and Kraken have the most severe outflows"

[第9段]

开始时间: 13:43:50

结束时间: 13:52:20

对话:

Ken: "Damn it. These centralized exchanges are parasites of the market"

Tricia: "What signals should our group focus on next to determine where the crypto market bottom may appear?"

Sean: "The major bearish triggers we just discussed are exactly what we need to keep an eye on"

Sean: "Bitcoin ETF net inflow returning, Coinbase premium turning positive, and exchanges stopping their selling. These three are the most important reversal signals right now" {Kip: 👍}

Tricia: "Great summary. Thumbs up"

Kip: "Then let us wait for these signals to appear"

Dale: "Add one more. The December FOMC meeting must deliver a clear dove signal"

Gregory: "I just checked. Since yesterday, the capital outflow in the crypto market has slowed significantly and is nearly balanced"

Dale: "It was large capital entering that pushed this rebound"

Sean: "Most people do not trade during Thanksgiving. Let us observe a few more days"